Biden builds toward a much-needed bipartisan Capitol Hill victory -- on China
(CNN)After months of frustration, White House officials are suddenly looking at a rare opportunity on Capitol Hill -- the chance to pass something important with the support of both Democrats and Republicans.
A sweeping, roughly $250 billion proposal to
bolster US competitiveness with China has moved to the top of their
legislative agenda, carrying policy and political benefits that tie
directly to some of the most pressing issues President Joe Biden's
administration faces.
"We have momentum now, there's no doubt about it -- you can feel it," Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, one of the administration's point people on the bill, told CNN in an interview. "It's a sea change in momentum."
The
White House is leading the effort, with the support of Senate Majority
Leader Chuck Schumer and Speaker Nancy Pelosi, and has been privately
pressing Democrats to elevate the proposal as a priority, multiple
people familiar with the effort said.
White
House officials view the proposal as an opportunity for a substantive
bipartisan legislative victory that would address a series of clear
domestic issues, ranging from bolstering manufacturing to easing
pervasive price increases, ahead of a critical election year.
It
also serves as a critical element of Biden's efforts to directly
respond to a rising China at a time when the relationship between the
two countries has grown increasingly tense amid a series of actions,
particularly related to Taiwan, that are viewed as intentionally
aggressive by the administration.
The
bill comes at a time when Biden and his White House are looking for an
opportunity to turn the page on a disappointing end to his first year in
office. The potential bipartisan legislative win -- when combined with
the promise to pick the nation's first Black female Supreme Court Justice
to replace the retiring Stephen Breyer, strong economic growth
statistics released Thursday and decreasing Covid-19 cases -- could
signal a turnaround the President desperately needs ahead of November's
midterm elections.
On the policy side of things, it addresses a series of urgent issues, most notably the global shortage in semi-conductor chips, that Biden has consistently highlighted throughout his first year in office.
On
the political front, it neatly aligns with what Biden framed as the
core of his economic policy -- an emphasis on domestic manufacturing and
a clear and unmitigated effort to directly bolster US economic and
technological advances to counter a rising China.
The moment arrives as Biden's highest-profile legislative goals have run into a brick wall.
Biden's
cornerstone $1.75 trillion economic and climate package has been frozen
in place due to the opposition of West Virginia Democratic Sen. Joe
Manchin, with the centrist Democrat collapsing the arduous, months-long
process to pass the bill in December. A few weeks later, Senate
Republicans unanimously opposed Biden's voting reform push -- and
Manchin joined with Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, an Arizona Democrat, to reject
the Biden-backed effort to change the Senate filibuster rule to pass the
measure with a simple majority.
The
twin defeats laid bare the reality of Biden's precarious political
position, wrestling with the slimmest of congressional majorities and
searching for a path forward at the very moment he entered a midterm
election year with his lowest poll numbers of his time in office. The
result drew no shortage of concern and complaints from Democrats both
inside and outside of Washington.
White
House officials stress that they plan to take another run at a scaled
back -- if still sweeping -- Build Back Better package. There's also
cautious optimism that the bipartisan group of senators working to
reform the Electoral Count Act could lead to an outcome Biden would
support, even as officials have kept their distance from the effort and
take pains to note it's not a substitute for their voting reform
efforts.
Yet
neither of those is viewed inside the White House as imminent, with
both likely weeks away from taking legislative center stage. A February
18 government funding deadline remains the most pressing issue on the
calendar, but talks on a broader funding agreement, while progressing,
have been plodding, indicating another short-term extension may prove
necessary.
'The sweetest of political sweet spots'
Therein lies the long-awaited opening for action.
As
Democrats sought to retrench amid the setbacks, they didn't have to
look far for a proposal to move to the forefront -- one that had already
passed the Senate with significant bipartisan support and that White
House officials see as carrying significant policy and political
benefits.
At the core of the bill is $52 billion to turbocharge US semiconductor development and manufacturing,
an area of palpable -- and growing -- economic and national security
concern for administration officials. The effort would mark dramatic
expansion of federal investment in manufacturing, new technologies and
research and development, marking a dive into industrial policy designed
to spur innovation and private sector follow-on that could dramatically
reshape the US posture in what has become a strident technological
rivalry with China.
"Let's
do it for the sake of our economic competitiveness and our national
security," Biden said as he pressed lawmakers to act on the proposal
last week at the White House. "Let's do it for the cities and towns all
across America working to get their piece of the global economic
package."
"We
need not have confrontation, but we have a stiff economic and
technological competition," Biden added, speaking of China, which has
served as a -- if not the -- animating element of Biden's foreign and
domestic policy efforts.
The
pervasive shortage of chips, which are critical components in
everything from cars and washing machines to phones and electrical
grids, has been perhaps the most acutely painful of a myriad of
pandemic-driven supply chain issues that have contributed to inflation
that sits at a year-over-year 39-year high.
Some manufacturers that rely on semiconductors are down to less than five days' worth of inventory, according to a report released Tuesday by the Commerce Department.
"It's
China, it's national security, it's inflation, it's manufacturing, it's
bipartisan," one Democratic lawmaker who has pushed to move the bill
for several months told CNN. "Beyond the policy necessity, it's the
sweetest of political sweet spots."
That
a single bill could directly address some of the most significant
issues facing the country is not lost on a White House -- or frontline
House Democrats -- looking for a win.
"There's
not a member of Congress who is going into their district and not
hearing about inflation, supply chain, chips," Raimondo said.
A 'Sputnik moment'
Yet for all of its political salience, supporters view the proposal as broadly transformational.
Biden,
when talking about the effort, has framed it through his oft-mentioned
lens of the world facing an existential moment where democracies must
confront the challenge of rising autocratic regimes.
Sen.
Todd Young, the Indiana Republican who has spearheaded the effort and
successfully shepherded the measure through the Senate along with
Schumer, the lead Democratic author, has compared the measure to a
"Sputnik moment."
In the place of the Soviet Union's technological advancements of last century, Young has pointed to China's vast investment in research and technology driving the USpublic and private sector response.
White House officials view the measure as a vehicle not just for economic and technological advancement, but societal as well.
One
White House official outlined how design of the effort can re-attach
the now disparate elements of local communities -- where things like
regional technology hubs can serve as drivers for university researchers
and corporations to align with workers and labor unions and
philanthropic and community organizations.
Taken
together, they are lofty -- and, to a degree, hard to quantify --
ambitions for a single piece of legislation. But they also underscore
sheer scale of what would mark the largest industrial policy effort in
recent history.
Despite
suggestions by some lawmakers that the semiconductor piece be split off
and moved separately, White House officials and key sponsors repeatedly
rejected the idea, knowing separating the most urgent component would
likely doom its other parts.
The package, for it to have its full effect, needed to stay intact, they said.
Yet
for months the critical, if underappreciated, element of Biden's
legislative checklist sat in limbo, stuck behind high-profile Democratic
priorities, and weighed down by a handful of substantive policy
disputes.
"The
biggest stumbling block to getting this done has just been
distraction," Young said in an interview with Punchbowl News, citing the
White House and congressional Democratic focus that, for months on end,
centered on finding a path for Biden's Build Back Better Act.
White
House officials note Biden's focus on the core elements has been
consistent throughout, with a bipartisan meeting to highlight the issue
in February, followed by an executive order that laid the groundwork for
the administration's focus on supply chain resilience -- with a clear
focus on semiconductor chips.
The
Senate process was largely driven by lawmakers, with the White House
providing technical advice and consultation, and those conversations
have continued in the months that followed. Still, officials acknowledge
that an almost all-consuming Democratic focus other agenda items played
a role in a timeline that has remained ambiguous for months.
A clear shift emerges
But over the course of the last week, a series of intentional moves have underscored a clear shift.
Biden
highlighted the need for the legislation at a White House event, Pelosi
listed the proposal in a memo to House Democrats as a top priority for
House consideration and the Commerce Department released a report
highlighting the severity of the current semiconductor shortage -- data
Raimondo described as "truly alarming."
In the most critical step, House Democrats released their long-awaited 3,000-page version of the bill.
"We
are hopeful about that process moving forward quickly, and the
President would certainly like to sign it as soon as possible," White
House press secretary Jen Psaki told reporters Wednesday.
There remain significant hurdles, even as the White House throws its weight behind quick action.
House
Republicans have already made clear they largely plan to oppose the
House Democratic proposal after their top committee members felt cut out
as Democratic leaders moved to release the bill text. Administration
officials, including Raimondo, have been pressing to line up the votes
the last several days.
The
House bill diverges in several critical areas from its Senate
counterpart, laying the groundwork for a complex conference process
after House passage. Resolving those differences, particularly on
differing trade provisions, between powerful House Democratic chairs and
Senate authors who can point to a significant bipartisan vote in their
favor is certain to create complications.
The
window for action, even though it's clearly open at the moment, may be
fleeting as other priorities bubble in the background -- something
underscored by the surprise addition of a looming Supreme Court
confirmation battle to the Senate agenda
Still,
Biden's advisers have strategically mapped out ways to keep the issue
on the front burner. Biden will highlight the bill, and the need to get
it to his desk, once again when he travels to Pittsburgh on Friday.
There will be an intensive focus on its necessity, not just for the near
term, but also in laying the groundwork for a US. competitive advantage
for years in the future.
A
sustained public and private focus is planned in the weeks ahead,
officials said, as House Democrats move on their version of the
legislation and then both chambers work to reconcile differences to get a
final version to Biden's desk.
The
economic and national security risks, after all, aren't going away,
even if it's taken longer than some lawmakers would have liked to
finally lay out the path to the finish line.
"Our
challenge is to show leadership and not get tied up in any one
particular red-line and miss the forest for the trees, which is: We have
a semiconductor crisis," Raimondo said. "It's a national security
crisis. It's an economic security crisis. And so, we just have to try to
keep folks really focused on that."
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